Understanding the future of migration

In partnership with the Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute (NIDI), GMDAC is leading a work package on “migration scenarios” in the context of the EU-funded, Horizon2020 Project “CROSSMIGRATION – Current European and Cross-National Comparative Research and Research Actions on Migration.” The objective of the work package is to provide a tool to inform future policy decisions on migration. This objective will be achieved by developing possible scenarios of future migration to and within Europe and assessing their probability of becoming real. The project is currently producing two reports and an interactive online tool to visualize the scenarios developed. The first report is a literature review on foresight studies, projections, and scenarios of migration flows. Building on the results of the literature review, the second report defines the probable migration scenarios and their probability of becoming real based on expert opinions. Each scenario will identify distinct trends for different types of migration: humanitarian, labor, family, among others.